Listen, there's no point to ask me about my predictions for the ruble in the coming days or weeks. Well, for example, it can be 100 after the New Year. Or 150. Or 200. Most likely, probably, at 150. But I don't know.
All of us should understand: the ruble has NO BOTTOM, because the ruble has ceased to be traded against other currencies, in its fundamental assessment. This happened for two reasons.
The first is because in Russia abolished capitalism and built neofeudalism. First of all, absolutely all of Russia's actions, inside and outside, subject to the will, desires, phobias, moods and madness only one person in the world. Secondly, all assets in Russia no longer belong to their rightful owners. Each asset can be illegally confiscated.
The second is because Russia has committed an international crime, anneksirovat Crimea, i.e. the territory of another country, and unleashing the war in the East of Ukraine. Russia under Putin was doing before, and with Georgia and Transnistria, and so on, but never did it so blatantly, so fast and so big. Furthermore, the actual annexation of any territory was not there before - there were other crimes, but these have not yet reached.
There is only one precedent in the world's post-war history when this happened. In 1991, Saddam Hussein had invaded Kuwait in favor of Iraq. Nothing good has not ended. He was convicted and hanged.
Putin decided to repeat the experiment and thus went against the rest of the world, not only against Ukraine. Mind you, it is not Kuwait was liberated themselves from Saddam Hussein. It was the whole world. The same thing will happen now is not Ukraine will free himself from Putin. It will be the whole world. And he has long been involved at least since July, if you count the active phase of this process.
What is the exchange rate of the ruble can say in this situation? He should be tied to the price of oil? To GDP growth? To the General economic situation? No, it's all a second time, and all that I have mentioned, and more, in Economics and Finance, is derived only two factors: (1) the coming of neofeudalism and (2) geopolitical catastrophe arranged by Russia itself.
Because (1) Russian assets, including ruble assets and RUB useless. Simply because they can select from, and this is incompatible with capitalism and methods of asset valuation. That is, not necessary at any price. Possible zero need. And for one cent is no longer needed.
Because of (2) Russian assets, including ruble assets and rubles, too useless. Just because the confrontation with the whole world would mean not only the collapse of the entire economy, but also the collapse of the entire state, which includes the register of shareholders, i.e. the owners of assets, and where there is emission center rubles. With the collapse of the state registers of shareholders do not act, and the emission center "works" by itself. By the way, all citizens of Russia are also shareholders. And the registry is also destroyed. And emission center rubles already "works" by itself.
Moreover, Russia for the first time since the Second world war, has no internationally recognized borders.
If anyone has any doubts, then I don't have it: state collapse has already occurred, according to the criteria described above. After the collapse of decay.
Is it possible to prevent the collapse of the state?
Can. Should the collapse of the state as something to fix, to save the state. The recipes are, and they are known to all. But they will not use, so there is no hope.
And so now for me the ruble that 100 150 that 1500. It is not currency. And if it is after the New Year will cost 150, it will still do so... soft script.
Who in Russia is very heavy foreign debt - that today is the financial corpse.
Source: www.facebook.com
