Russian authorities take a lot of measures to strengthen the collapse of the national currency.

Measures these should be in the next few days even more intense - to allow Vladimir Putin to report at least some stabilization of the economic situation in the country at the final press conference in the Kremlin, says Vitaly Portnikov in Lb.ua.

The press service of Putin has already warned that destroyed the Russian economy political intrigue and economic shortsightedness, the head of state will not make special representations regarding the ruble exchange rate. But the silence Putin amid the fever of the foreign exchange market will look more eloquent than any words, so that his subordinates will do everything possible to bring the temperature down sinking body.

But to bring the temperature back to normal no possibility still no more.

The abrupt fall of the ruble and a crazy reaction to the collapse of the Central Bank of Russia and the government of the country led to the panic and the final disappearance of public confidence in the national currency.
As a result, all the signs of a crisis of confidence is evident - hours-long lines in stores, when people buy whatever is handy, if only to get rid of ruble savings, lack of currency in exchange offices, transcendental courses in provincial banks cease lending to households, empty ATM... And this is only the beginning of the collapse, which is already impossible to stop the oil continues to fall, the constant improvement of the Russian Central Bank discount rate makes it impossible to stabilize the situation using the internal economic reserves - in a word, has arrived! While the Russians continue to habitually look for analogies in his recent past, telling each other how to survive any 1998. But it's not 1998. It is 2015.

Actually, the crisis in the Russian economy was ordained on the same day, when they finally lost touch with reality President Vladimir Putin decided to annexation of the Crimea.
About the consequences of this decision visionary people warned Putin and the Russians supported him in those fatal to their state days. Logic thinking people understand the destructiveness of the Crimea, was simple: Russia refuses to respect the principles of international law and cooperation with the West. Each new step after the occupation of the Peninsula and intoxicated “easy victory” and impunity Putin could not do these steps will strengthen not only the political and economic isolation. As a result, any crisis in the world economy will become Russia's deadly: the ruble exchange rate will begin to fall, foreign exchange reserves to be exhausted, the Russian company will not be able to refinance in the West, to pay the debts, capital will continue to escape from the zone of risk.

Of course, at the time of preparation of such forecasts, it is hard to imagine that Putin so “fail” the oil price. But reasonable policy differs from lumpens in the presidential chair that is aware of the possibility of jumps in oil prices. Moreover - and this must be understood clearly and without falling oil prices, the Russian economic crisis was inevitable, as the country has no reserves for debt service major companies without foreign loans. He simply would not have been so rapid, senseless and merciless to supporting chauvinistic ideology of their President and the occupation of the Crimea and Donbas Russians.

Another important premise of the crisis is a systematic clean-up of the Russian leadership from professionals and generally sober-minded people. Politicians and economists can be moral or immoral, but in order to succeed it is important that quality as adequate perception of the world. Now over the years of high oil prices, Putin has done everything possible so that the appropriate people in the leadership of the country was left - they were not needed in the situation, when you can just distribute the oil pie. And those professionals who were able to hold on to their positions, once and for all learned one simple rule: you cannot annoy Vladimir Vladimirovich.

So they do not irritate. And gradually they themselves moved into the world in which he lives, their President. So don't expect from the leadership of the economic bloc of Russia and Central Bank adequate solutions - they will rush to burn the reserves, to decide one crazier than the other, while foreign currency reserves will not be squandered completely. Also, do not forget the impact on these solutions private interests of Putin and his cronies. For the Russian President is much more important to keep Rosneft or Gazprom, because we are talking about his own purse, and Russia is the TV abstraction above the suffering which can be beautifully poshlepyval at a regular press conference.

That is why it is impossible to predict exactly how the situation would develop crisis in Russia. In principle, there is nothing particularly difficult in a crisis now. But the very first step, without which nothing will be a return to the principles of international law that would give the possibility of returning to world markets by the largest Russian companies. However, this requires a fast - emphasize, at an accelerated pace to leave the Donbass and abandon the Crimea, at least agreeing to talks about the future of the occupied Peninsula. It is clear that none of this Putin will not do, and the West will not be hurried, because already realized the futility of dialogue with the Russian President. And from that find themselves in a desperate situation Putin is ready to make concessions, the sense of security to the civilized world will not return.

Therefore, the event will become an avalanche and irreversible until complete degradation of the Russian economy and the incapacity of the state of its functions, including social and power. But in this situation, each region will be saved as you can, some regions will be combined into “clusters”, conditional Ural, Volga and Siberian Republic of mutual survival. In the Caucasus will resume the war, but in a new form - between the Caucasian republics and regions Russians edges. In a word, will come the great Russian chaos, senseless and merciless.

To avoid this chaos will succeed only if the Russian elite will come round in the next few months, if not weeks, its foreign policy will be changed, and the authorities demonstrate a willingness to real economic and political reforms. A countdown of the Russian Federation is already running.