I often write stupid things about the war or the economic situation, most coming true, that some do not. To anticipate just impossible. The course of events can turn the stupid one or the resourcefulness of the other participant, or the impotence of the third.

All my writing is just an attempt to summarize the available facts, modest experience with best, meager amount read historical literature, insatiable cravings to listen to others, more intelligent, dogmatic, is absolutely irrational belief in the victory of Ukraine and civilization.

So think ten times before you read my humble stupidity on the front, the future of the Russian Federation and the situation in Ukraine. I warned You.

My vision of what is happening, which I will recount for a year:

- We have introduced direct foreign rule. It's not just the appointment of foreign experts on important public offices, or as advisers in the most important ministries, just when Ms. Nuland arrived in the Ukrainian Parliament and politely asked to vote correctly, no one was able to deny it, which, of course, our parliamentarians have saved the country from default. But we saw the most important thing is the citizen of another country can affect important decisions for Ukraine, and directly. And it is very good in our case. For any safety instructions in a civilized country, whether it's "behavior during the fire or the actions of the hostages in the capture of terrorists", reads as follows: after the arrival of the rescue services follow all their commands and instructions. When firefighters arrived at the fire, then run by them, not You - or the house will burn. Your job is to follow orders and help whenever.

- Give Russia to get bogged down in the war in Ukraine. There are so many explanations and reasons. The first is the need to conduct complex preparatory work, such as: the creation of an enemy image, the evacuation of Western manufacturing, Finance, and personnel from the territory of the future "instability and conflict," the organization of a United bloc of allies, the transfer of arms and personnel closer to the territory of future military operations, the seizure of property of the Russian Federation, the freezing of accounts, the sanctions for strategic Russian industries, the collapse of the material base of the enemy. We can observe this fully. Until Russia is at war on Donbass, the Americans totally justified customize Abrams and aircraft in Eastern Europe. China makes railroad bypassing Russia, and all at once deduce money (currency) from banks Federation.

- Minsk agreements provide an opportunity to gain time. And it doesn't work on RF - go to the website of the Moscow exchange, or look at the quotes on the price of oil.

We can like this situation or not - choices we have two.

To accept and receive money, loans, financial aid, the reputation of a peaceful country, joint exercises with NATO, and rearmament of the Ukrainian army. Or default, stop paying salaries and pensions, the death of not thousands but hundreds of thousands of soldiers before will join the army of other players, the ruined city is not in the Donbas and in the center of Ukraine and the complete collapse of statehood, read the death of Ukraine. Poroshenko, as if to call it - the choice is made.

- Why the army of other players sooner or later to connect to? There are many reasons. As indirect indicators, with which we will start. The sharp increase of foreign troops along the border with Russia, our joint doctrine, signed by Ukraine of the agreement on military cooperation (not to be confused with the Memorandum), the establishment of joint teams with foreign personnel, the Tribunal for Boeing, the accusation of Putin in the deposition of the radioactive attack on London, the recognition of Russia as an aggressor in PACE, etc. etc. For some it's subtle hints, and as for me - the beginning of chargeability to the face of Putin Gaddafi, Hussein, Mussolini, Milosovich, Hitler and the gang.

Well, now about the main thing. It is already clear that this, as it turned out, the soft collapse for example the Soviet Union - will not. The ISIS troops in the Caucasus, thousands of volunteers Russians returning from DND and LNR, bloated media fascism, paroxysm and aggression, degradation of society and the lack of material resources, as in the Union - suggest about the unenviable share our hapless neighbors. It would be a disaster, the like of which was not yet. More than 17-year and much louder than the collapse of the USSR.

Amid all the rising terrorist threat from alcoholics from the DNR or nondrinkers from ISIS, to become more exciting for the future,- not the Russians - and nuclear weapons, nuclear power plants, chemical plants, radioactive burial grounds and warehouses of weapons. For example, with a part of the new republics and territorial entities happen to agree, where security officers will be sworn in to new governments and will continue to work without payment for the benefit of new territorial formations. Can you vouch for all of Russia? No.

For this and need the international contingent. When you begin, then priority will be given or to take such dangerous objects for the planet under control, or destroy them. No one start to drift so risky processes will not.

Therefore, the Minsk agreement will be delayed as long as necessary - until the plan for ensuring the security will not be ready, tactical groups have been formed and tightened aviation, and the Russian oligarchs bought.

Everything will be dill.

Source: Мирослав ГАЙ