"The glass is half empty or half full?"

Part 1

Rhetorical question.

Further text for those who have a glass half full.

So, a meeting of the four Normandy format and went straight up the avalanche review different and very different properties. In order to assess the nature of this event, should be back in April-may of the current year and compare the situation then and now.

Thanks to colleagues from the resource "the Peacemaker," we can get a rough idea about how the armed forces planned summer 2015 campaign. Who do not know — I highly recommend you to look through the extracted documents (http://slavaukraine.net/en/news/latest-news/2823-to-capture-the-entire-left-bank-ukraine-under-the-plan-of-the-general-staff-of-the-russian-federation-will-only-be-given-15-days-document-anton-gerashchenko.html). Once you pay attention to the fact that the project planning combat operations of the Russian army group "North", and there are still other groups, called "East" and "South". This is not an approved plan, however something similar has been either approved or ready for approval.

It is clear that all this is not realized in life because we'd know for sure. As far as we know, all these documents, indicating the source — flew to the glorious city of Washington and became public. In any case, this summer was planned a large-scale invasion of the Russian armed forces along the border, from the Crimea and Transnistria. For this purpose, was taken out almost all the equipment, arms and ammunition from Siberia and the Far East. Almost all combat capable army of the Russian Federation has moved to our borders. Such an agenda we had in late spring.

Now compare that with what was discussed in Paris. The withdrawal of troops, the transfer of border control of Ukraine and the termination of the games with the OSCE and elections, when all this is done. Isn't it, the difference is more than significant?

Now — look carefully! We are restoring control over the border. It is clear that the first will include units of border guards, and behind them will be pulled and Mat. Although the guards are not like they were 2 years ago, neither the equipment nor the weapons. Question: what will happen to the Russian technology, which was overtaken in the Donbass? Quietly withdraw it in Russia will not succeed. To withdraw under our control — not! The official position of the Kremlin "rebels" are fighting on the pressed technique of the APU, and therefore there is no reason of its displacement in the Russian Federation. This means that controlled Ukraine and the OSCE, the withdrawal of equipment will surrender to Russia in a deliberate and unprovoked aggression. Moscow has two choices: withdraw all before handing the border or to destroy everything, so they didn't get the APU. In any case, the part of equipment: air defence, electronic warfare and large caliber have taken in the Russian Federation.

One thing is for sure, the return of equipment to storage locations — very heavy burden for the weakening of the Russian Federation. The transfer to Ukraine of this iron was worth many, many billions. No one even expected that I have to return back! If they can strain your budget by a reverse transfer of weapons, then Russia would go up in smoke much faster than planned.

From this conclusion. The latest weapons you need to withdraw, and the rest to burn. With all armor will remove optics, communications and everything of value, then undermine. And there's only tanks over 700 stands, but there is still light armor type infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, which is also charged with conservation. All this technology is already preloaded resource and drag it back — it makes no sense. So — into the fire.

This is how the "Javelin" would be needed to get it all to burn? The next issue is reputational. If all goes as agreed, this mega drain no one will ever forget. Or Russia in General or Putin in particular, no one else will believe and here's why. Almost all taken by force the territory, shall be exempt only in two ways: military and as a result of the collapse of the invaders. Perhaps this will be the first case of this magnitude, when the aggressor was expelled in a diplomatic way.

Part 2

Now about the actual elections, Amnesty and other things. If anyone had ever read the Tax Code of Ukraine and many other normative legal acts of lower rank, — have confirmed what our experts have learned to issue such securities, that it is still out in the cold remains the one ordered. To go far will not, and will cite an example from the Constitution. In the beginning basic principles, which must obey all. For example, all citizens of Ukraine have equal rights. This is clear to everyone. However, further in this same document, defines rights of deputies and judges, for example, and it appears that they have rights much header than all other citizens of Ukraine. They have the right to wander the streets even when others would have sat in jail. In addition, MPs has a lot of nishtyakov, or we forgot, or never heard, such as free medical care.

What we all are. What we should take the "correct" laws may not be discussed. Take! Know how to do it so that Mama do not cry. In particular Amnesty. This point is very brings many to distraction. However, there is little fad, of which many already have, but are not in the Russian Federation and which have not been heard in the occupied territories. Let us give just one example, but again — a lot of them!

So, let us assume the worst option, such as Amnesty for those whose hands are stained with the blood (though we strongly doubt), plus, — immunity for candidates on areas of Lugandon.

Look carefully! Candidates can only be citizens of Ukraine, and therefore stopping the fellowship passes by the cash register. Well, the candidates have been given immunity. Even those who have "the elbow". Stood up and applauded in unison! Let them register and be elected! Let them win or lose. After the elections they cease to be candidates, and with it their immunity disappears. Then everyone has fantasies of their own.

Amnesty. This legislation is initiated by the President and approved by BP and finally has the name of the Law of Ukraine "On Amnesty". It would seem that war criminals can breathe, but no, it is not the final version. Ukraine should ratify the "Rome Statute" and, it seems, already took place. But even if not, the Parliament must accept it and remove the integrity of persons from all MPs, judges and other brethren.

From this conclusion. If Putin gets really bad with his head and he begins a new Saga in the Donbass, we can state: we have stopped the enemy in a situation where he has not yet entered into the battle the main groups of a breakthrough. In Maryinka the point was put to his tactical advantage. However, the most significant damage to Russia and Putin struck low oil prices and sanctions. It is not our merit, it's worked partners. Sanctions we joined only a year and a half. But the decisive blow to Putin was made after the leak of his plans of aggression. It was after this had been arrested several accounts where you store personal hundreds of billions of citizen Putin. Only after that he can hear what he's told. It is also not our merit. It worked States.

For this reason — categorically do not fall neither in euphoria nor in criticism. Everything is being done as could be done and nothing else. Sorry, we haven't caught up recitals and forced to play with the entire orchestra to the beat of a conductor's wand. We have not found a death Kaseeva, so look to the future with optimism. The cure is found, it is accepted and it is already beginning to act. In our case, it is necessary to do so, as described below:

"Nasreddin Hodja for the right price, took twenty years to teach a donkey. The Emir threatened to cut off Nasreddin's head, if within the specified period the donkey does not learn to read. When Nasreddin asked how he took such a risk, he replied:
– Do not worry. For twenty years or the donkey dies, or the Emir will die, or I die!"

We are not going to die, and while they're at it, the donkey, and the Sultan more and more difficult to breathe! So, we win — without a doubt, and all scum will find what you deserve!

But on balance the following results. Putin wanted to overcome (at least) the Crimea and left Bank of Ukraine, of course — to prevent the entry of Ukraine into the EU and NATO. So far only happened with Crimea, but he is all clear — will have to return. The part of the Donbas he already forced to return. With the EU and NATO, he made it clear, Ukraine accelerates integration and is definitely included in these structures. It was all written in new York and confirmed in Paris. Hollande told Putin that Obama failed to explain personally to Putin — the money and the guarantee of personal safety, in which case there with Russia to happen. That is, Putin has got good Labasa and went without the usual impudent-imposing pressuhi.

Source: http://defence-line.org/

МБФ "СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"