It is believed that a political solution to the Donbass, and especially with the Crimea or no.

This opinion is based on the simple fact that a political solution based on the agreements and their compliance. However, therein lies the biggest problem of the whole situation. It is obvious that the initiator of the war, Putin's Russia has completely lost credibility as a party with which to negotiate and completely destroyed its credibility in terms of what she will comply with the agreements reached. Russia has trampled dozens of bilateral and multilateral treaties and conventions, starting a war of aggression. Moreover, what do the Russian military and help them separatists, Russia itself was suppressed with cruelty, examples of which are hard to find. In Chechnya killed more than 200,000 civilians in the fight against separatism. Moreover, Russia did not hesitate in means and destroy the rebels together with municipalities and local residents. In addition, right now in Syria are moving all new party Russian troops to help Assad in the fight with the same separatism! That is, the management of the vast country, openly demonstrates contempt not only for international law but also to laws of logic. Therefore, seriously to be hoped that Moscow will fulfill its promises is a waste of time.

The only circumstance which will give a political solution, it is critical weakening of the Russian Federation, or its complete destruction. In this situation, the Kremlin will have nothing to violate its obligations, it will happen against his will. Besides this option, all other solutions — a purely military and there should be no illusions. Even if the Kremlin is quite faint, Lugandan to the eyeballs loaded with weapons and there dug the crowd except I want nothing more to do but to fight. Their persuasion are not forced to lay down their arms, and therefore the military operation is inevitable.

In this case, it is necessary to refer to the experience of the classics and theoreticians of the art of war, which say one should shy away from battle when you have the wrong position or when your army is ready for battle due to low numbers or equipment. And on the contrary, it is necessary to choose the moment of engagement, when you have the advantage in position, maneuver and/or the number and equipment of troops. The most important thing — not to miss the moment when things are going favorably, because the situation is volatile, and tomorrow the cards will be again in the hands of the enemy! In early 2014 we had a totally favorable position to carry out active actions, but in just 2-3 months, the army was ready to deal with the separatists, and showed that in the month of July. At the same time, our army was not yet ready for large and open war with the regular army of the Russian Federation. When I started this phase, we evaded a large-scale war and began to gather forces for a much larger format of hostilities.

Objectively, our army rises from month to month. Dramatically increased the number of armed forces and repeatedly increased the power of our drum units. Somehow, recovered operational command and control. Only in summer we started getting communications system of Western production with the advanced data encryption and other modern things, which give the ability to create and maintain a stable, interference-free, private channels of communication for command and control, as well as the means of suppression of enemy communications. Without this it is simply impossible to adequately manage military operations on a large scale. To our knowledge, this link has already been provided to the levels of command of the battalion and above.

In addition, the army for the first time in its history, received such a number of new equipment and weapons, which allows to solve problems of a completely different scale. In fact, we have a new army with a new inner frame, and regular exercises with the participation of trainers from the United States and NATO, suggests that there is a development of new weapons that are only ready for combat use

It is difficult for us to judge how our army is ready for combat operations against a large army of the enemy factions, but by all indications, we are either very close to this threshold or have already crossed it and continue to grow stronger. There are rumors that now, in General, already solved our main problem — we already have a surprise enemy air force and now he will have total air superiority. But the main surprise is prepared for armored units of the enemy. It's all rumors, but if there NATO instructors, they are trained not to dig trenches and to walk goose-step. Instructors appear after the gun or with it.

That is, we come to a level where we would be able to conduct operations without regard for the fact that Russia will impose its troops, for this capability will be the basis for planning military operations. The enemy is now demonstrating nervousness and provokes us to respond. It's predictable because there is an understanding that without direct participation of the Russian Federation, lovenduski troops will not stand long. This understanding forces us to exacerbate the situation, so as to involve the regular army of the Russian Federation back into the thick of things. But the Russian army is now fighting in Syria. Right now there is increased grouping of forces. Most interestingly, these are the same units that fought with us. This is a familiar summary group of 16 brigade and the 22nd separate brigade of GRU of the General staff CH RF unit 137 is about parachute regiment 106th airborne VSD Russian Federation, division 1140 artillery regiment of 76th assault division, unit 810 brigade of Marines of the BSF and others. They are joined by new units that I flew from Sochi airport with all the necessary accoutrements.

This means that they are preparing a major ground operation. When will the batch will start and serious losses, there will be troops in the mode of replenishment and rotation. They say that now the number of Russian troops are approaching 5,000 people, although it may have already and more. For such operation, in the Russian Federation should be formed a reserve of strength not less than that. Well, among other things, the cost of one day stay in the military far more expensive than in Lugandan.

Thus, the Russian troops were divided by 2 with separate theatre logistics and other necessary things. Recall that the huge military budget of the United States and the concept of the use of the armed forces, does not involve simultaneous participation of troops by more than 2 TBB, because it is very expensive. This means that the RF got into the most expensive option voynushki.

Now lovenduski separatists beg for the return water to cover by Russian troops, but now is not the leisure. The strongest sections. There are, of course in Russian reserves, but they are much smaller. Logic dictates that when Russia will fit into a large ground operation in Syria, and especially when you start to incur a significant loss, it will be the best moment of reply to the separatists. They want a war? They can get it . But it needs to be done very quickly. 7-10 days is necessary to completely demolish the enemy's defenses, to go to the border and stay there, but if the enemy uses the old tactics of a fiery shaft from abroad, you should think of ways online to capture these facts and just give in open air, so that the whole world saw that attack are Russian troops from the Russian territory. When this information is gone and will be adopted by our diplomats at the UN, Berlin, Paris and Washington and demonstrated to senior management in these countries is to suppress all fires on the other side. Just sweep everything in the trash! To cure once and for all from hybridity, without any doubt. It understands only force. Given the fact that the Russians used to bombard with impunity, as in the dash, return fire will be great for them, but the last surprise.

And after that you can safely doushite the pockets of resistance and to hold or not to hold elections. Then see what happens. Just you should work on right now, and the patriots who remained behind the front line, immediately switch to work on catching evil spirits and to restore the legitimate government. These people deserve to create a new power.

Although it is possible that Russia will show to the world a miracle and will collapse before. That would be the best option, but as we noted above, to war still have.

Source: http://defence-line.org/

МБФ "СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"