Today the Russian press in the throes of ecstasy, savoring the "joint Russian-French-American" operation in Syria.
If it will read the unsophisticated reader, the impression that has formed a new Alliance, like NATO, which finally took Russia. The fact that the Russians are more than likely to get orgasms, no doubt, but our media as well as analysts and top bloggers drove the wave on this topic. However, once on the second plan have left common sense and simple logic, and it is simple. First, consider the interests of all parties to the conflict.
1. Russia wants to keep Assad in power. Initially this was due to prevent the laying of Saudi and Qatari gas pipelines to Turkey, and now it was just a silly show in which Putin can with impunity saber-rattling.
2. Assad wants to stay in power, not in Syria, but in part only would he not cut off his head. He knows exactly what is for what.
3. Gulf countries want to get in Syria a government that will carry out the responsibilities that the $10 billion assumed Assad, and then they threw. We are talking about the gas pipeline that Moscow wants.
4. USA wants to overthrow Assad, because it suits its key partners, primarily the Gulf Countries.
5. Turkey wants the removal of Assad and the transfer of power to those who can lay a gas pipeline.
6. Israel, tired of the Palestinian enclave, which is pumped with Iranian weapons via Assad, wants to overthrow him. The Sunnis promised to put an end to it.
7. Now there is interest from France, which wants satisfaction for the attacks in Paris.
Now let's see who is doing what in Syria.
1. Russia climbed to Syria is serious and forever, on the Afghan version. The main part of military action limited to air strikes on Assad's opponents, but is preparing for a ground operation. Air raids do not differ accuracy and character erase from the face of the earth entire settlements. Deployed air defense system.
2. Assad himself does nothing, but submits to the Russian-Iranian plans of warfare. Rules on the subject area purely nominal.
3. States conduct air strikes low intensity, trying to minimize collateral damage. Works with precision weapons. Together with States, Syria bombing their allies, including Arabs and the Gulf countries — are financing the rebel ground troops.
4. Turkey — bound NATO commitments and not to get into conflict without the approval of the Alliance, and one against. Therefore, working in small groups of special forces, who are regular losses.
5. Israel emphatically does not climb in the conflict, but regularly bombed the convoys of Iranian weapons to Hizbollah, which is trying to bring him to Palestine from Syria through Lebanon. To be sure, convoys and warehouses are spread in Syria, immediately after completion of loading. In Arab squabbles Israel will not climb until he moved.
6. France decided to enter the conflict on their own and not as part of a coalition, led by the States. This suggests that she wants to choose goal by Us intelligence. This is important, because now with Hollande will ask more and he has to show personally killed raccoons. For this reason, he is unable to base their aircraft in Jordan or other countries of the coalition, and is fitted to the shores of Syria, the only aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle.
From this it follows that in the sky over Syria, will push three independent groups of combat aircraft: the Russian-Syrian, American-allied and French, and from time to time, and Israeli. All parties, except France, have their own air defense system, and Russia and the Navy off the coast of Syria. This means that entering into an independent game, France is obliged to stipulate with the applicable parties, the rules of the game, to avoid confusion. Putin did with Obama, Netanyahu did it with Obama and Putin. Åland is obliged to negotiate terms with Obama, Putin and Netanyahu. Here all right.
Further, it was reported that Putin is ready to reach a ceasefire between Russian-Syrian group and the moderate opposition, focused on the Gulf countries. States gave the green light, but under the condition of fixing the current situation and removal of Assad from power.
Even if separation will happen and Assad will leave Latakia and Damascus, then 3/4 of Syria will leave antiacademic forces. In this case, it turns out. Candy Syria overlooking the sea, remains under the protectorate of Russia, and Assad will still have to clean up. Central and East Syria will fall to the rebels. Recall that there are major reserves of oil, refineries, power plants, water of the Euphrates and that is where you plan to lay the pipeline. This will arrange Qatar and Arabia, this is the perfect Turkey. Candy Syria will no longer be able to pose a threat to Israel and this will signal the Movement at the end of the game. That is, Israel is also satisfied. If so, then is satisfied and the States.
Attention, question: what has Putin won?
Source: http://defence-line.org/
МБФ "СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"
