The events of recent days in connection with the aggravation in the middle East may seem inconsistent, however, do not rush, arguing that the Kremlin has quite straightforward in the implementation of the policy.
No, the Kremlin rather acts tough, continuing to raise rates is not my purpose. And this in the first place – the collapse of the European coalition and preserve his or her zone of interest.
Most likely Putin waited for the incident with the Russian aircraft in the skies of Syria and he was ready for this aggravation. Moreover, he is ready to close the Bosphorus for their warships. Inside of Russia for him this victory, another argument in favour of the statement “Americans against us.” This is because they are pushing the Kremlin expects Turkey to confrontation. But under cover of this misinformation is completely different picture, namely – Putin creates new axis, which would drag France and Iran. Both countries, the Kremlin will try to consolidate common interests with you.
Just a day before the disaster So in the sky of Turkey, Russia offered Iran an unprecedented loan of $ 5 billion. Before this week, Russia proposed a joint action plan for France to fight with ISIS. Hollande understands – friendship with Russia now that the game is in the gate of his opponents – the National front of Le Pen, who is financed by Kremlin. But beyond that, France has one interest – the market of Iran, with which it unites old historical ties of the Islamic World. For example, Houmani came to make a revolution in Iran from France. A lot of Iranians is in France still and they would have been happy about the warming of relations between the two States. Add to this the strategic position of Iran.
If even after the incident with Su Turkey will close the Bosphorus for Russian military convoys, the Kremlin will start to act more actively with Iran, while conducting operations in Northern Iraq, this time not only against ISIL but also loyal Kurdish tribes, displacing them from the area. Following Putin's interest should logically be Iraq, which Russia wants to return. Thus, simultaneously increasing the pressure in Syria and Iran, coming into Northern Iraq, Russia and Iran will build some semblance of loyal territories, encircling Turkey from the South. France gets smashed ISIL, a good relationship with Iran and Syria, which logically Putin will allow a coalition government. But in fact, Assad will simply change to another the nomenclature of peresadovka forces.
The plan maximum in this situation – to destroy the sanctions of the European coalition, which is dominated by three countries – Britain, Germany and France. If it will be thrown out at least one country, the coalition will rapidly deteriorate, and that the lifting of sanctions, the restoration of relations with Europe and the extension of Putin's interests in Ukraine. And it is clear that now the weakest link is France. Therefore, knowing in advance about the terrorist attacks in Paris, the Kremlin waited, in time to Express condolences and offer help, while simultaneously intensifying the French nationalists under the leadership of Les-Pins. The Kremlin really wants Le Pen defeated in the next elections, then we can say “it's in the bag”.
How everything will actually happen is hard to predict, since most of the trumps keeps in his pocket of the US that have seriously entered into the game and they are mostly economic. However, it was always. Now the last 5 billion dollars donated by Iran, about 100 million a month is flared in Syria and for all the purposes of a handful of Kremlin leaders to become great. The history of 70 years is repeated.
Victor Shevchuk. Russian Jewish.
Source: http://rusjev.net/
МБФ "СЛАВА УКРАЇНІ" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"
