Since the last decade of the past month on West drive and fly formal, semi-formal, not formal and does undercover walkers, in anticipation of a Grand lookout that is inexorably approaching on the Russian Federation.

The very seriousness of the situation was clear before, but at the end of the year, Russia, of course, slipped a warning signs such as in Ukraine and Syria. There were several, but the most important were two — the sanctions and oil.

Already for anybody not a secret that mad the gas station, no storm was not going and not going. Unlike other irresponsible countries, Russia is totally dependent from the import and export of all vital. We assumed that at one point the West will do exactly what you did several times and constantly threatened to do to Putin himself — will close the valve on the pipe. Vladimpeks for some reason decided that it is his exclusive right, but it turned out that the valve on the consumer side much more powerful thing. It showed Moldova, Lithuania, Poland, and now Ukraine.

However, this demonstration is not complete and examples are given of countries — visualization of a much larger process that is inevitable and systemic consequences. Roughly speaking, the West does so for the Russian Federation to cease to produce oil and gas are already cheaper than continue. That is, if Putin two or three years ago threatened to halt supplies of oil and gas, now he is going to need to do this because to trade at current prices is unprofitable. But the process is still not finished, it only revs up and announces the biggest ever redistribution of the energy market, where neither opponents of the Russian Federation, or even tactical allies, such as Iran — I don't see Russia's place in tomorrow's market. Production, transportation and sale of resources in the Russian Federation is unprecedented in the history of corruption. This means that the high cost of energy due to the enormously expensive infrastructure, the creation of which stood a fabulous cut and orientation to supply everything from chemicals to equipment for drilling, through a network of offshore strips belonging to Putin and Co. But even what remains is just unbelievably stupid. The content of the media, sports clubs and other non-core stuff, as well as pay phenomenal fees frankly unprofessional management, making the cost just outrageous.

Know it all:from equipment manufacturers and other consumers of oil and gas. The whole business is just stuffed with strips national leader. Such obvious and rampant greed by the Russian leadership helped to elect the most effective and reliable tool. Sanctions and prices have already eliminated the profits of oil and gas companies and if you look at the graph of falling prices, there was a period when oil for a long time kept in the range of $50-60. It is believed that somewhere in this level was the threshold of survival of the Russian energy sector and Russia as a country, because when the cost of oil Urals in the range of $30-40, the industry was still profitable, though, to fatten already there was nothing.

It is believed that during this period the Russian leadership were the latest warning that a civilized country can behave in the 21st century as it was in the 19th century. Quite a long time was given to the Moscow thought about it, drew conclusions and began to act. First of all, imputed country had to stop waging war, because it is burdensome event. The next step would be the transformation of the main directions of the economy in the direction of increase of profitability. Several months were given to change the corruption schemes and withdraw from them pump resources into personal pockets. In this case, the same crude oil could reach $15-17. Of course, the Gulf cost below $1o, but pursuing them is futile, because the climate, communications, and technology out there unattainable.

But Putin has decided that the real guys rod to last and not fold. In this case, we find it difficult to answer the question, what was expected of the West — return in a sane state, or exactly what he did — ate a bit. Most likely — second. And here Putin has carried on and is dragging a crumbling Empire. In order to show the coolness, he with a flourish intermeddle in Syria. There is an assumption that the person that convinced Putin to do it, in the end, I got the monument in the homeland. At this moment the destiny of Russia was decided. Another thing is that the West's response has a lag time, but in December last were put up warning signs in the form of further and tougher sanctions and a steep dive the price chart for oil. Putin slipped and it is, but no more warnings will be gone.

Here in this moment all understand the situation money bags and the authorities in the Russian Federation, it became clear that there were no horns, whistles and other signals. Titanic confidently rushes on rails that are only in the place where Putin began his journey at the bottom of the toilet. But as we know, the lifeboat is launched or what will be there already at the moment of full clarity of the situation for all. Then there will be a stampede and fighting for places, but the earliest output are rats. They don't need the alarm and the instructions of the stewards, they know what to do. Right now they jump from the Titanic in order to solve questions about the possibility to survive and keep at least part of their funds. I think that in the administration of the President of Ukraine, the Russian government on the country, in an unremarkable European cafes and restaurants are the direct or indirect conversations about what else can be done so as not to rot under the collapsed debris of the "energy superpower". With high probability, the first number sounds the displacement of Putin and the most odious figures of the Kremlin authorities. For sure, will be discussed several options, ranging from the preferred to the West:

The arrest and transfer to the Hague, Putin, Medvedev, Shoigu and the list goes on. Probably, the Germans will even provide the same benches on which sat Goering, Hess and other creators of such "superpower".
Hard elimination Putin and his inner circle in the style of Ceausescu or Gaddafi.
Sudden death in his sleep from an overdose of worry and anxiety, something like a heart attack.
We think that option # 1 rats to provide not be able. They are the same with Putin, and even security guarantees will not give them peace of mind. In addition, the General intellectual level of the Russian "elite" does not exceed the level of the Petersburg yard punks, and therefore they will not be able to make this beauty.

Option # 2 is more believable and the more, the higher the probability. You just have to imagine how many habits of Chanuka, which demonstrates Putin, was worth a very wealthy and influential people. Officially lost billions of dollars and ruined prospects, really — lost tens of billions and it is likely that after the collapse of the financial authorities of different countries just sweep away all acquired by overwork. Such money can shoot the same body for months until there is nowhere to shoot. For this reason, cash bags can chip in and offer such a fee-the mini-army that it the Kremlin brick by brick smash.

And finally, option # 3. We believe that this is the most likely scenario of upcoming events. The fact that the absence of democratic institutions will not lead to simple re-election or something similar. Once the crowd feels that the master can not listen to and even beat, the Russian Federation will cease to exist in one night. Ten regions have been willing to take their sovereignty by their own hands, and the rest of the start exactly what happened in Ukraine in the summer of 2014 in Lugandan. It would be monstrous proportions unbridled Orgy. The lumpen was going to Rob and destroy everything, and who still have time to slip away (if there where), it would be just torn apart in pieces, and the property will be expropriated as it was in Donetsk and Lugansk. First will be an elite inside-out towns, villas, palaces and stuff, then jewelry, car dealers, fur-coats and only after that the lumpen will realize that the greatest value — food and drug. For a week the country will be transformed. To avoid such a scenario, the King must die quietly and of his death are not going to tell, and his name will be made inevitable things to end the life of what is still called Russia.

Note, these walkers to the West are occupied by just one thing — trying to negotiate the opportunity to safely settle in the West and have access to the already long-delayed amounts of money. That is, they are ready to merge all for their effort. But there is a small group of individuals that really very seriously and is prepared to capitalize on this festival. A dozen or two dozen military and civilians waiting for the signal, so that, by having the arrangement, to receive $1 billion, and quietly to depart the civilized country with a mild climate where you can spend the rest of his days without worries, watching from the Windows of his house as the sun sits lazily in the ocean. These people — seriously and earn more than others, for they shall pass from hand to hand a nuclear weapon. The execution of this maneuver requires rather option # 3, for the two previous may prevent its performers.

Thus, we are inclined to believe that it will be either a stroke or a heart attack.

Source: http://defence-line.org/

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