Observers now reported concentrations of armoured vehicles and personnel of the enemy in the area of Gorlovka. Clear. that nothing good should not wait, however, we dare to assess the situation from a different perspective. To do this, look at what is happening to the South.

ALEPPO

The Russian troops, and especially aviation, his trademark style, erase from the face of the earth the Syrian city of Aleppo. that is, they are ground into the rubble of the city, together with its citizens exactly as they did in Chechnya or in Lugandan. Tellingly, they clearly show that civilian casualties (collateral damage), the Russians just do not take into account. No factors, which have led the leading countries of the world towards miniaturization and increased precision of weapons, the Russian army simply does not apply. They just wash out in the powder all before them, and move on. Azadovskii troops that could not, due to the limited ammunition and means of destruction. The Russians, those limitations do not exist, and therefore they act so. as it allows them the enemy. And the enemy has no means of doing counter-battery and a bare minimum of defense. But the Russians don't equate the whole city and the sector, which is the Syrian opposition. The enclave of ISIS feels quite calm. The broken part of the city already occupied Syrian forces and the moderate opposition has already appeared in an operational environment. In this situation Moscow intensifies air strikes on the city, receiving every day more than one hundred victims of minaka. That is, Putin shows complete disregard for the civilian casualties and operational coordination with ISIL. But a tactical success, has already launched a mechanism of strategic complications of the situation. Turkey, Arabia, Emirates and Bahrain have already given the nod to conduct a ground operation in Syria for his troops. This was the result of the above reasons and fits into the framework of operations against ISIL. The Syrian army and the armed forces already in practice showed full cooperation with ISIS and become part of it.

The beginning of the terrestrial phase of the coalition operation in Syria means air support and cover the combat area air defenses. That is, the impunity of the Russian air force in the air is finished within the same day. What resulted in the supply of Stingers to Afghanistan, we all remember, but here things will be different both in number and in quality. And let's not forget that the coalition headed by the USA, which pulled in the region of everything you need for air and ground operations.

With the beginning of the active phase, it will be important how to behave in the Russian Federation. If they pull their forces to the bases is one thing, if you enter into direct confrontation with the coalition forces is totally different and with completely irreversible consequences.

Something similar happens in Lugandan. We already wrote about the fact that Time is working against Russia. A good time large and direct military operations was in the spring of 2014 and ended in autumn of the same year. More and more absurdum becomes as idea itself of this operation, but most importantly, the results leave not acceptable to the Russian Federation variants. You could even say — on the contrary. The later a decision will be made about the operation, the worse it will end for Russia.

GORLOVKA

Next, we will leave the counting of heads and armored fighters. who pulled together to Horlivka, even will not consider the number of attacks per day, which reached the threshold value. It was already over 80, and more than 100-120 is already the active phase with large-scale battles. We'll just see what this will lead and how this might relate to the alleged purpose.

So, the HC was not, and never will be different tactics of warfare, as we have seen in Chechnya, debaltseve, near the southern border or right now in Syria. There simply is no variable "collateral damage". They hammered at nine in Mariupol, dropping them into their homes, to visually equalize the idiocy, the same thing they try to do with Artemivsk and forth. It is clear that sane of the objectives is just not there. They need to show the promotion at any cost. Therefore, the local vatgrown, do not relax and wait for the "liberators" of the Russian shells send in a mass grave without any differences in views and beliefs. What one can say, if they thrash each other so that even the most stoned jackets don't believe in DRG fennel. Therefore, miRNAs they are ready to lay down indiscriminately and doubt.

But there is another point. Whoever submits the APU as stubborn, but deep down inside, peaceful guys, deeply is mistaken. Two years have already gathered the backbone of the army, which is not just able to fight and wants to fight and that these truces were already tired of them before biliary colic. Many fighters have a long list of unpaid bills, before the militants. In addition, we had to communicate with those who in the event of open hostilities, will be in the epicenter of events and know the mood. They've seen too many "exchanges", "courts" and so, over alien russianname. There is a widespread belief that the Russians will no longer be a prisoner and die heroically. All. We will have a zero epidemic of surrendering. That is, it will be another war. But that's not it, and what it all will lead.

The Internets got a note in which Garry Kasparov spoke about activity of the Russian "opposition" Kudrin, on the lifting of sanctions with Russia. It seems that the system is starting to come apart already without fools. The Russian Federation officially went through the world with a hat asking for loans. However Menyamya credit resources for the Russian Federation closed. Exotic lenders that can work around the sanctions, represent the risks of these activities. And here are two big groups of risks — direct, Russia can simply not give the credit due to the financial collapse of or disconnection from swift, as was the case with Iran. The second group arises in the maneuvers to circumvent the sanctions. It may cost much more than the benefit from the loan interest. Therefore, the most risky traders can subscribe only having the ability to cut big. That is, if Moscow and get the money, only short and expensive. this situation resembles the well-wisher, who puts out the fire with a bucket of gasoline.

However, it's superficial implications. Deep work right now and the West has the ability to fasten the valve even more. It is about the package of sanctions, at a knockdown comparable to Iran. I.e., full closure of access to modern technologies. Here for Moscow it's not much fun. Suffice it to say that all new armored vehicles and aircraft, the Russians have established sighting systems French company "Thales". Key elements of radar, the Russians received directly or in a roundabout way from the States. Element base of on-Board computing systems — import. The funny thing is that for most products the type of missiles air-to-air or strategic missiles, engines, system of spatial orientation and guidance, made in Ukraine. Yes, we also use Western components, but for us everything is open.

Once all the bling cease to act in a rigid and final, the Russian defense industry falls very quickly. Someone can say that in Russia there is all his own, but we can say what we want, but the facts — stubborn thing. I will not here repeat the history of the Foundation of the strategic missile weapons of Russia, missile Satan, but here is another example. The office of Dima Rogozin "Roscosmos" refusing to implement jointly with the Gazprom project on extraction of methane from the atmosphere of Jupiter, decided to create a super-heavy transport aircraft. Joke humor is not even that the aircraft must have a 200 ton capacity, and not even the fact that motivation has been a significant weighting of their military equipment, and that they do not have enough available half a dozen An-124, which solve all modern problems. This year, the Russians threatened to release them yourself at the factory in Ulyanovsk, but a gap ties with Ukraine showed that this is impossible to do! With Ukraine!

Now, Rohozynsky heaven to earth. And look in the place where should be the bottom.

PAYBACK

Previous part we finished example of the failure of industry to self-renew to produce heavy military transport aircraft An-124. But this story has a revealing sequel. Instead of "Ruslan" the Russians announced the start of works on creation of an even more ambitious machine called the "Ermak". This airplane, according to Rogozin, will be able to lift 200 tons of cargo. Moreover, in the image and likeness of "Armata", they plan to create a universal constructor that will allow the same set of standard parts, components and assemblies of the mold machine as lesser and greater load capacity. In addition to the analogies with the "Armata", it begs two further analogy with the PAK FA, because this miracle of the aircraft will have the code name PAK DA (hussars, be silent!) and, of course , the analogy with the "Superjet". It is understandable, the Russian miracle name Pogosyan almost entirely assembled from existing parts in the West. That is, he took already developed for other aircraft engines, hydraulics, automation, appliances, computers, all this put together and called it a miracle of Russian aircraft. Well, the most important. The Russians don't even hide that the development of a "new" aircraft will be based on the project Il-106 thirty years ago. This suggests that the Soviet legacy vyhrabala just to the bottom, even you can hear it scrape. Private engineering school is already almost completely destroyed, and the few that remained, exploiting the accumulated dead designers and engineers. About basic science just be forgotten, because it is already in demand by other professionals with beards, crosses and belly.

Thus, Russia is in half-step away from sectoral sanctions that will cut off not just from the loans and from the markets of high technologies and related products. Or all need to do, or to ask the Chinese. But in case of resumption of war games near Gorlovka, the sanctions will become so hot that China can't hold in your hands. He has major markets in the rich West and to take over the mad dwarf them just does not make sense. Total — it is necessary to do everything ourselves. Despite the fact that the industry of the Russian Federation degraded beyond repair whole it sector — is useless, you need to create all anew.

Here we must clearly understand that we are talking about the enormous amount of work, of monstrous proportions. The USSR started industrialization since 1927 and have worked hard in this direction before the war with Germany. That is, for 14 years a huge scoop that brought millions of slaves, claiming all the property that killed millions of people, roughly equal to the volumes of industrial production with Germany. But how did he do it? Almost all factories working for the defense, was designed by the Americans. The equipment for plants imported from the States, Germany and other European countries. Scoop sent their engineers and scientists in the most prestigious scientific school and an internship at the leading industrial enterprises of the world. Private engineering schools came not from the air, and the industry simply could not occur by itself! When the war broke out and the industry of Ukraine was lost, beyond the Urals rose new plants, which was supplied with the latest equipment from the United States and dozens of leading experts established weapons production, directly transmitting the mass defense technology. After the war, Germany were shipped from dozens of factories directly with engineering and design staff. This was due to a breakthrough in the technology of rocketry, nuclear weapons and aviation.

Just in order to understand the significance of this moment. Germany have gone far in the above-mentioned technologies, but it was the Navy. Germany, for various reasons, failed to create adequate and good surface fleet. At the same time, the submarine fleet was able to create the best in the world at the time. Now look at the scoop and even the Russian Federation — the same picture! What was intercepted from the Germans — has been developed and still has a fairly high level of technology. The fact that the Germans had not developed, a scoop, too, was the same. The history of the scoops does not remember any naval battles, which one could quote as an example.

For completeness, we should mention China. Technological backwardness of China from around the world was so impressive that could be described only by means of anecdotes. However, the change of domestic and foreign policy, as well as the immeasurable resources of the workforce, has led to the fact that China has become attractive in terms of migration there of industrial enterprises from the United States, Europe and Japan. From an agrarian, backward country, exploiting the technologies shared at the scoop under Stalin, China was developing into an industrial power. The key was the time when there were transferred to the factory for the production of microelectronics. When operating the businesses was created by a layer of qualified engineers and Universities began to produce its own experts, China has gradually shifted to new technologies on its own facilities, and even bought a few plants, along with technologies for the production of microchips. All this time, was a parallel process of re-engineering. The Chinese bought samples of the military and not only. techniques in an attempt to recreate the pattern has its own. The same did the USSR, completely copied the American pattern to create the first of its own strategic bomber.

VT4 MBT-3000 Norinco China

But by this time, China was a long 20 years and only in the last 10 years he began to produce military equipment that can puts on arming their own army, and also to offer it for export. Now China has gone forward and RF level technologies, can compete only in several individual weapons systems. But it's not for long, for the Chinese are on the rise, and the Russians — on down the line. Now Chinese be a welcome development for the Russian defense industry.

All this to the fact that when closing a remote technology, the RF is simply not able to recover. She has neither the internal resources nor the experience. Russian industry was always brought up either directly by foreigners either with their direct participation.

In short, the Russians of course can play war games again. They just can't otherwise, but it is believed that this focus will be the final nail in the coffin. Then it's gonna be absolutely irreversible processes of destruction of the Foundation of the Russian Federation. Russia, unlike Carthage, will destroy itself, same with his army and his leadership, and she will scatter salt on their unholy ground, and never ascended that stuff that we see now.

Source: http://defence-line.org/

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