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It seems that Putin was the last time I decided to try myself in chess.With two open front he puts everything on the next move.

Why now? Quite simply, in Moscow it became clear that a turn to the East failed. Touch Chinese purse could not under any sauce, and what's more, Chinese banks have begun to block the funds of the Russians, overwhelmed by the sanctions. This is a direct reference to the fact that Russia is cut off even from Chinese financial resources and most likely, from Chinese components for Russian military equipment. In such conditions, standing in the same place — dead. It is obvious that now there are "protected" budget items and areas of the economy.The protected article was the defence, but it de facto falls into the financial and technological vacuum. Time is working against Putin and he knows it.

However, Moscow has no other tactics, as an increasing degree of conflict. In this respect, he copies the tactics of the leaders of North Korea, which cut the humanitarian aid and other promises to suspend new launches or explosions. As soon as I eat again it starts with the rattle of iron. This is the only thing that can sell the DPRK. Putin decided to trade the same. Public announcement "exercises" — the confirmation of this thesis. Otherwise, the deployment of troops would be carried out most secretly, hiding the scale of the event.Here in the press issued by the options "exercise" and not even started hiding the fence with military conscripts. So, in other words, the whole world is shown that at the border with Ukraine and in Syria, already deployed the first echelon troops, the second echelon consists of forces that are plucked from places of permanent stationing in "places of exercise". Third echelon tomorrow begin to form the Russian military.No one has any doubt that this is the deployment of combat troops before the war. Another thing — where will suffer this madman.Today appeared the calculations of experts about the fact that a war with Turkey. Here we allow ourselves to doubt these conclusions. Russia has no land border with Turkey and something to do only with Syria.

In this case, we should understand clearly that instantly work article 5 of the NATO Charter and in the Syrian track, it will all be over very quickly. The Russian group of forces will cease to exist in the gap "from dawn to dusk". Even Russian lobbyist in the EU and NATO — Germany, has already washed its hands about the fact that Moscow is doing in Syria. If you will be given a formal reason for the use of NATO forces, everything will be fast and hard. As a consequence — the cessation of imports of Russian energy.

There is another option. If the Gulf States and Turkey enter their ground troops to Syria, then Russia will lose the initiative. It is clear that regular units will not go forward without air cover. In this case, the Russian air force will face trained and well equipped air defense system of the coalition. However, attack Turkish and other troops in Syria, will not be considered as aggression against a member country of NATO. Then, the Russians will face only with coalition forces.For the opposition ground forces, the Russians will have to increase many times its contingent in Syria.This means that across the Straits should gush out the flow of troops, followed by a huge shaft of logistics for the troops to have something to eat, something to shoot and something to fill your technique.

There is a large probability that at the first loss of the Turkish troops from the fire of the Russians, the Straits will be closed. By the way, will be closed and the air over Iraq, which will start working of the U.S. and Turkish air defense. Drive reinforcement through Gibraltar or the Suez — will not, because it is already clinic. This means that the first two options is absurd and can have value only at the stage of threat. As soon as a real fight, no one will buy it, for the destruction of Syrian group of Russian troops, along with Assad — is no difficulty.

The third option, the most likely and most dangerous for us, it is a broad invasion of Ukraine. On this situation indicates the mass of events. Right now, along the Northern border are confusing the teachings of the armed forces of Belarus.Moreover, these "teachings" is almost a blueprint of what "studied" Russian troops on our Eastern border in the summer of 2014. There was also put forward by the mass of artillery, which burned down 30 km into our territory. It's hard to say what the mind, "but father", but agree that the venue of the exercise is revealing.He began to conduct exercises in the Northern and Western boundaries, where right now deployed U.S. forces and NATO, which Luke does not like. He did not do that on the Eastern borders, where his sworn ally, he is pushed to our limits, though we never had territorial claims. In the South, in Crimea, the troops left the places of permanent stationing and maneuvering on the Peninsula. In the Eastern regions intensified lovenduski fighters, and to the borders tightened again fresh troops.

In this situation, we need to be prepared for the invasion than ever. In our view, for Moscow had already closed the window of opportunity for Ukraine. From a military point of view, every day reduces the chances of success of the Russian invasion. Now it is clear that an invasion would entail is not just fatal and disastrous consequences. In this case, the population of the Russian Federation must understand that a broad invasion get in return — a total war.This means that the war will come to every house and now to many Caucasian and Arab peoples, and will add another Slav, which will be enough to know that they are Russian, so without hesitation to press the trigger.

And it's not worth leaving in the theory of kindling ethnic hatred. Nobody sets itself against the Russians as they are. They grow their torturers in Aleppo, but if one from us, it will be flowers. By the way, who goes with St. George ribbons and bleats about "dadeville", it is worth remembering what he wrote Konstantin Simonov, who came with arms in his house.His poem "Kill" right now is gaining the literal meaning against the Russians. If they think that impunity will be eternal, let them ask the Germans, they know.

To us it makes no sense to be afraid. This plague will hang over us until we die. Until then, we need to look, not if Moscow pulls out a knife or an ax. If it's gone, then let them go. It will be their last campaign. Already have someone and something to meet this Horde.

Source: http://defence-line.org/

ICF "GLORY to UKRAINE" / ICF "GLORY TO UKRAINE" / FIB "GLOIRE À L'UKRAINE"


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