It's been two years since the beginning of aggression of Russia against Ukraine. It is no secret that in the beginning of these events, Ukraine was extremely vulnerable our chances were not great.
This was due almost entirely complete process of collapse of the army. Now, many are discussing the topic of why our troops had not opened fire on the occupier, and whether the order to open fire. It seems to us that these issues are second order. We need to clearly represent the state of our armed forces. Well, our troops are engaged in battle with the enemy, what happens next? Any military operation is immediately limited in several important aspects: the overall plan of action, communication-interaction and logistics.
Roughly speaking, whether the APU is a plan reflecting the aggression of the Russian armed forces, located in Sebastopol? Obviously not. The grouping of the invasion quietly moved to their original positions, deployed and started to perform tasks. We discovered already at the final stage. This resulted in several pockets of potential resistance, which was blocked by the enemy, pre-designed plans. Let's say they opened fire in all locations. The enemy definitely had a plan of action in this situation, brought up the reserves and go positional battles. Most likely would be applied to aviation, if Putin even spoke about using nuclear weapons. Even if not, the besieged garrisons should expend BC and then what? They shut off the water and electricity. Some stocks are Autonomous funds, but everything is designed for logistics — logistics, which no longer exists. Further, in the absence of plans, the troops turn into Makhno, who act according to the circumstances, not presenting a unified military body. The enemy operates under a unified command with the correct maneuvers and interaction. And last, in this case, the enemy jamming all ancient connection or even start with a relationship that is giving false commands by mobile phones on behalf of the commander. The sad thing, such a picture could be observed on the mainland of Ukraine.
All the generals and senior officers who were in the armed forces of Ukraine, made his career exclusively in the period of reduction of the army. Their exploits and grounds for career growth, linked to the ability to reduce the army. In the end, we received nearly disastrous situation with a huge gap in the defense. Luckily, we darted volunteerism and for all its ambiguity, it is dobrobiti plugged this horrible gap. This has had not only an impact on the operational situation in the Donbass, but also forced to change the entire strategy of aggression. Initially, the General staff of the Russian Federation was the plan from the calculation of the available forces and means of the APU, and with the mobilization of reserve and support troops. I suspect that their data were close to the true state of Affairs and if not for the initiative of thousands of our citizens, all would have gone about the Kremlin's plans
Not only that, the front began to move all of the new volunteer formations, and these were followed absolutely incredible and unique logistics volunteers. At some point, it created a duplicate structure of the APU, its entire depth. up to the rear. Moreover, citizens of Ukraine and our friends abroad that created an alternative military budget, which made up for what you need right here and now. This element it is impossible to calculate in principle and the tempo was lost. At this time, APU has collected in a fist that was still alive and in the summer of 2014 so hit that Russia was forced to enter their regular troops. Had this not been so, by the middle of autumn with the Lugandan would be done, only Putin has raised the stakes and brought their troops.
Remember gap, Saur Mogila, Ilovaisk, Debaltsevo, etc., and hear what justify the heavy military defeat. We have always lacked reserves. Roughly speaking, by that time, we have not yet earned the key elements which directly and immediately replenishing and restoring the resources of the troops. Moreover, disgusting equipment of troops, led to additional losses.
All this required time to put in order the frame of the APU. First of all, the mobilization will start the car, almost completely destroyed in 25 years. I had to recreate logistics, including the start of production of all necessary for the army, as well as timely delivery of everything to the army. But in addition, it was necessary to lead the army in a condition adequate to the threat. For this purpose it was necessary to restore military planning, work out the interaction of large military groups and to ensure that all communication is reliable. It is clear that nobody is perfect, but somewhere in the General staff, classified as "owls. secret", there are indicators of the minimum level of equipment and a large army. Reaching this level, we can already quite easily provide the defense with all of the possible line of contact with the enemy, including the North and Crimea. You most likely have and the second turn of the qualitative and quantitative indicators, which gives the possibility of conducting offensive operations, from the accounting entry against reserves of the armed forces. Surely there is a maximum level of performance at which we are able intelligently and with minimal losses, to sweep out all the Russian stuff from our land, including Crimea.
It is clear that the higher the level of readiness of the army, the time it takes to achieve it. And here the question arises: what level has reached the APU on today? What we managed to do in those 1.5-2 years? For the above reasons, we will not be able to get a direct answer to these questions, but some indirect information can judge the actual state of Affairs.
Through various channels we have received information that the armed forces gradually changed their tactics on the front end. The fact that the enemy is not profitable to sit in place without movement. This is because the calm atmosphere in the front, reduces support, including financial, from the Russian Federation. If Ukraine completely stopped the dances with coal, which is exported from Lugandan, the situation would become even more acute because constantly want to eat, and the owner of the Kremlin will not feed dormant gang. In this regard, in various parts of the front, the enemy to conduct local offensive operations, which carries a bigger and bigger loss.
It is obvious that Mat felt its force, and meet any attack the enemy has good taste. There are reports that in certain areas, our commanders to lure the enemy armored vehicles and burned it all. In short, right now there are two method of small operations. First, when this attack of the enemy allowed to develop to a certain level, so that the troops of the second echelon and then all this attacking group is served carefully aimed fire. It is obvious that here the task of causing maximum damage to the enemy. It is clear that the removal of the corpses and "designers" from the battlefield, does not give optimism to those who survived and especially those who directly takes out the corpses. Still greater effect is obtained when such events recur in the same sector of the front. The cyclical removal of dead and injured, makes you wonder about the eternal.
However, viewed another tactic. There is already a noticeable presence of either fresh military education, or refresher courses, command staff, or joint scientist with Western partners. Conditionally it can be compared with the tactics of "frog jumps", which was developed by General MacArthur during the liberation of Pacific Islands during WWII. Already recorded at least three cases of applying this tactic in completely different parts of the front. The essence of this tactic, in our conditions, is as follows. The enemy has a strong point associated with either upland or an important transport hub and from there leads a provocative shelling or attack. Choosing the right moment, when the opponent to incur significant losses in the attack or simply overwhelmed by return fire, our military, on the shoulders of the retreating enemy, a skyscraper or a paragraph. Thus, the situation that opens operational opportunity to get on the rears and there to make some trouble to the enemy — not used. Just done a small but steady and very significant jump.
From this we can conclude that the Mat came at least to the second level of readiness outlined above. We are already under a powerful force conducts offensive operations against the enemy, which clearly present the Russian armed forces. Our units are satisfied by means of effective bronetehniki the defeat of the enemy and may have already reached the level when Russian tanks turned from shock knuckle in the desired and correct target. But most importantly, our units show a very high degree of preparation, when even in local areas operate smoothly, without distracting attacks, but also developing a rather complex scheme of defence, which lured the enemy.
This suggests that we need to work closely with our Western partners, showing a sample of a team game, but created the impression that the APU is already waiting for the Ref here lugandan-Russian forces, provide a more substantive response to their desire to "take to the border areas or in Kyiv, in Lviv". It seems that the side is already too understand, but are compelled to push forward, because they have no way out. That is, to leave — can't stand — can't — go into a big attack. Although, of course, but already know how it ends.
In conclusion — the overall conclusion. These past 1.5-2 years off. We won the time. Our army is a plus. The opposite side has what it has and the time she has no help.
Source: http://defence-line.org/
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