
It seems that Putin's favorite game in "peepers" — are over. Putin blinked first, at least — in Syria.
Part 1
In the Network appeared the message that Vladimpeks gave the command to withdraw troops from Syria due to the fact that there performed all the tasks that were set before the group. In this regard, I would like to hear these problems are and how they are made. However, Putin is not accustomed to account for their concessions, at least to their constituents. As reported in the water of troops in Syria, the goal was simple: to keep the Assad government. A little later it was announced the specification that allegedly protect Assad from ISIS. And later, Putin explained that the Russian armed forces in Syria carried out the cheapest books.
If the Russians did get out of Syria, the position of Assad will change from disastrous to fatal. If a citizen Bashar will not depart from Latakia in the Russian airborne barge "Yamal" or similar, its long neck not a long time to stain the collars of shirts. She very quickly fall into the strong tanned hands that will put to her a series of exercises in which could tell Muammar or Saddam. That is, the project "Alawite Syria" — closed. Are not observed task completion.
With regard to combating ISIL, it both was not, and no. Neither the arrival nor the departure of Putin's butchers did not affect the activities of ISIS. The area controlled by ISIS, did not change significantly, so and here is nothing to boast about.
You can Balk at the last item and tell about training of the Russian air force on the peace population, and it's unlikely you'll put plus. No, people have killed so many and destroyed homes, hospitals and schools. It will backfire, but not in this case. These exercises were very strange. Pilots just ironed the city, without anti air defense or enemy aircraft, because of their absence. What they studied or trained? What are the skills on the cheap get? In destroyed tens of thousands of staff LIH believe only persons who regularly take hard drugs. That is, such a task can hardly be accomplished.
And now look at it all from a different side. It is obvious that the true purpose of this event never aloud was not named, but they are so clear. The first is to create a permanent and very hot source of tension in Syria, which will block any projects of laying oil and gas pipelines from the Gulf to Turkey and then to Europe. The second objective is to cause a wave of refugees that will be infiltrated in Europe and will create tension in the rear of the imaginary enemy. The third and most important goal is to demonstrate your capabilities of conflict management. It was conceived for demonstrating the hot phase of the conflict, to sell it cooling. Roughly speaking, it was proposed that the Kremlin will pay for the solution to his problem.
On this basis, one can trace the collapse of the whole Putin's strategy in Syria. Just a week ago was finally approved gas the TANAP project, which will be a southern gas corridor for Europe. He finally buries the Russian plans in the region. Azerbaijan will start filling the pipeline for its gas, and then it will join Iran and Turkmenistan. That is, Turkey still gets gas hub of Southern Europe. Pipe laying will depend on the situation in Syria, whose value fell instantly.

With regard to refugees, which indeed has had a significant pressure on Europe and caused tensions there, and here were found the counter-measures, bypassing Russia. Just a couple of days ago, the heads of Germany and Turkey approved the program for the solution of the refugee problem. Turkey it received several billion euros and is now all clear what to do with the refugees. And the streams themselves have become thinner. All who could leave – left. To raise the second wave it is bombing Syria already failed.
Well, the last. Putin said that Russia leaves Syria to its bases in Hamim and Latakia. It must be understood as preserving the source of destabilization. Just wondering, what exactly will be displayed. Obviously, Putin failed to intimidate his Antiques neither Turkey nor the countries of the Gulf. Only the position of the States keeps them from launching a ground operation in Syria. Here we must understand that even without the Americans, the Muslim coalition has already put more than 300 thousand soldiers and tons of military equipment. That is, only the Turks and the Gulf countries, who created more than a tenfold advantage before the Russian-Syrian-Iranian forces. About ISIS is no question that such a force flushed down the toilet a dozen IGILOV. Again, all this does not start to work only at the behest of Washington, or the Vanir have long swam into the area of Tartus in the form of food for native fish. Moreover, the Russian aggression has forced the local countries to solve long-standing and severe conflict. The Turks made peace with Arabia and Israel, and so did Arabia. For once Jews and Arabs find a common language!
It follows from this that Putin and Lavrov have not received a Great Manipulator who could weld the profit on the settlement of this conflict. Forces rallied so powerfully that no manipulation is already out of the question. In short, Moscow did not fulfill any official tasks or simply undercover and is forced to retire, while seriously didn't beat the fuck up.
Part 2
Now let us turn to the bare facts, in order to understand what was going on. The end of the last week was marked by the end of the formation of the invasion troops in Turkey. As a matter of fact, Turkey, with 700 thousand army, around 400 combat aircraft and several hundred tanks, including the German "Leopard", it was able to shake out of Syria all around, including the lanky Assad, the Russians with their planes, rusty vessels, which have no analogues s-400 and "Caliber", along with the tanks and broken-broken by special forces, which is already lowered to the level of an outhouse ushers. By his readiness of the armed forces of Turkey are more comparable on their lot, but the more stupid the army of the Russian Federation. However, to give the Turkish army the shape of coalitionist, South of Turkey arrived special forces units are more than a dozen Muslim countries, and the U.S. air force base Incirlik – profit combat aircraft from those same countries.
At the same time, on the Northern border of Saudi Arabia, are deployed in an unprecedented teachings of the Muslim countries "Nordic thunder"(http://slavaukraine.net/en/news/latest-news/3737-not-threaten-south-central.html), where it was collected 150 thousand grouping of armies with hundreds of aircraft and tanks. Except that it is the second abundant group collected in the region, second only to the invasion force in Iraq during the Gulf war. Somewhere in the middle of last week, both groups reached the peak of their capabilities and completed activities to ensure interaction both within groups and between groups "North" and "South". In fact, arriving there the Marines and paratroopers of the US could just stand back and watch the process. I think that last week Syria would be cleaned from all the trash, including Asadova, Russians, Iranians and ISIS. So powerful force, USAF, France, Germany, Canada, the Netherlands and other countries just would not work.
And then came the end of last week. By this time, observers have noted a strange fact, which we noted separately and to quote our article here on 8 March:
"It is off the coast of Syria, dangling only a few ships: Tributs, the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Vikings off the coast of Cyprus — the watchman is fine. But in the district of the Turkish resort of Fethiye dangle 5 amphibious ships; Azov, Yamal, Saratov, Novocherkassk and fil'chenkov. And the interesting thing is that they are empty".
That is, already by this time Moscow came to the conclusion that getting in fights – does not make sense and need to leave, and already have prepared a fleet of landing craft for evacuation. That is, the full readiness of the factions of the coalition invasion of Muslim countries and the collection vehicle fleet in ten hours the procession from the base in Tartus is coincided. Apparently even then, in the Kremlin understand, but was hoping for a miracle in the form of infidelity of Berlin, Paris or them together. However, questions were taken following the visit of Saudi delegation to Paris (http://slavaukraine.net/en/news/latest-news/3731-two-views-of-a-paris.html). The delegation highlighted the range of issues that were discussed. Half of the delegation were military, which was led by the head of national intelligence. Those who understand a little in diplomatic symbolism, I can appreciate the hint of this design. Insiders reported that they discussed the questions of the ground operation of the coalition of Muslim countries and the imposition of a no-fly zone over the entire Syrian territory, including the base Hamim with Russian iron. With the light of the fact that the tone was set by the UK delegation, we discussed the most drastic solutions to the Syrian problem. About this informed the Angela Merkel, who flew in to Paris, but did not participate in negotiations with the Saudis, but spoke with the President of France. The Ambassador of the departure of Frau Merkel, President Hollande to meet with the Saudi delegation and probably shared the opinion of Merkel challenges.
So what kind of endgame. Merkel's talks with the Turkish leadership, where differences are fully removable for refugees. Moreover, Germany is not just going for a compromise with Turkey and joined the Turkish financial programs for refugees. Most likely, refugees were one of the elements of the discussion. Most likely, the Turks directly conveyed to Merkel his position and the position of Muslim allies in the coalition about how to resolve the Syrian crisis, already without considering the opinion of Russia. It seems that Germany did not dare to be the only one who would be against such a plan. Probably, Merkel merged Putin.
Immediately after that, Lavrov made a statement that Turkey has already sent troops into the North of Syria, while continuing to expand the basic grouping of the invasion. After a few hours in Ankara was an explosion and people died. The Turkish government gathered at extraneo closed meeting, after which it was stated that Turkey's position after the attack has only increased. It is obvious that for closed channels went more detailed information. It should be noted that the attack is a prerogative of secret services and the police, but the meeting was attended by the Minister of defence and other senior military officials. Following this, Putin urgently collect the night session of the security Council, which allegedly discussed the issues of financial policy. What was discussed actually – it became clear a few hours later.
From this conclusion. Or in Russian security agencies cracked the spine and they began to deflate that must occur on the background of a crumbling economy. Or is this another red herring to avoid a ground operation a coalition of Muslim States. If the transport vessels in the Turkish district of Antalya, will start to get Russian forces to withdraw from Syria, so this is the first option. If not, then we are on the threshold of a great Syrian war. In any case, time Assad has left Syria and are waiting for a big change.
Source: http://defence-line.org/
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